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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University3.84+5.10vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.74+1.63vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.92+2.99vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+4.09vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College3.00+3.91vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.82+0.37vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.61-0.32vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston4.00-3.24vs Predicted
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10Washington College3.65-3.15vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.06-2.26vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.49-4.66vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.66-6.18vs Predicted
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14University of Texas1.82-2.33vs Predicted
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15Tulane University1.64-2.95vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University3.84-9.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.1Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
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3.63Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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5.99University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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8.09University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.0%1st Place
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8.91Eckerd College3.000.0%1st Place
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6.37St. Mary's College of Maryland3.820.1%1st Place
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6.68Old Dominion University3.610.1%1st Place
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5.76College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
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6.85Washington College3.650.1%1st Place
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8.74SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
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7.34University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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6.82U. S. Naval Academy3.660.1%1st Place
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11.67University of Texas1.820.0%1st Place
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12.05Tulane University1.640.0%1st Place
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6.1Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Clancy | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Chris Barnard | 22.2% | 19.3% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Mike Kuschner | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alan Alkins | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Stokes | 10.6% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Whitford | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Steel | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 10.2% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Will Stocke | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Jason Carminati | 6.8% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Caitlynn Taylor | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 23.6% | 35.5% | 0.0% |
| Schuyler Hemmerdinger | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 22.1% | 44.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Clancy | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.