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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+3.44vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.92+3.84vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.39+1.66vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia3.54+0.32vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.28+0.07vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.84+0.23vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland2.09+1.33vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.33-3.09vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.97-0.37vs Predicted
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10Hampton University1.84-0.86vs Predicted
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11William and Mary0.66+0.97vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University0.98-0.51vs Predicted
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14Drexel University0.20-1.02vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.85-5.97vs Predicted
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16Princeton University0.13-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.44St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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5.84Old Dominion University2.920.1%1st Place
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4.66Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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4.32University of Virginia3.540.2%1st Place
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5.07SUNY Maritime College3.280.1%1st Place
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6.23George Washington University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.33University of Maryland2.090.0%1st Place
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4.91U. S. Naval Academy3.330.1%1st Place
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8.63Christopher Newport University1.970.0%1st Place
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9.14Hampton University1.840.0%1st Place
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11.97William and Mary0.660.0%1st Place
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11.49Monmouth University0.980.0%1st Place
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12.98Drexel University0.200.0%1st Place
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9.03Fordham University1.850.0%1st Place
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12.97Princeton University0.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mayumi Roller | 14.9% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zach Runci | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Johns | 14.0% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 16.3% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Randall Hartranft | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Ricketson | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Russell Cramer | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Alejandro Ravelo | 13.1% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Plarr | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Shoemaker | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Andrew Bryan | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 14.3% | 17.7% | 20.6% | 16.7% |
| Paul Luisi | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 11.1% | 16.3% | 19.1% | 17.6% | 9.4% |
| Trevor Nederlof | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 14.1% | 24.4% | 33.9% |
| John O'Riordan | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Eleanor Elbert | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 15.0% | 22.7% | 35.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.