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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+5.17vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.30+1.18vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.71+1.45vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.10+4.53vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.81+2.48vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.15+3.52vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.10+0.76vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University-1.38-0.49vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University0.65+3.60vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+2.30vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+0.77vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.77-5.16vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.99-2.92vs Predicted
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14Clemson University0.12-1.40vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-4.16vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan-0.64-0.49vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.52-3.30vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University0.97-7.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.17Georgetown University2.209.5%1st Place
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3.18Stanford University3.3027.3%1st Place
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4.45Yale University2.7116.7%1st Place
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8.53Harvard University2.104.2%1st Place
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7.48College of Charleston1.815.8%1st Place
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9.52Tufts University1.153.6%1st Place
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7.76Dartmouth College2.105.3%1st Place
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7.51Jacksonville University-1.384.8%1st Place
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12.6Christopher Newport University0.651.8%1st Place
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12.3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.291.7%1st Place
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11.77St. Mary's College of Maryland0.671.5%1st Place
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6.84University of Pennsylvania1.776.8%1st Place
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10.08University of Rhode Island0.993.2%1st Place
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12.6Clemson University0.121.7%1st Place
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10.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.852.4%1st Place
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15.51University of Michigan-0.640.3%1st Place
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13.7Connecticut College0.520.9%1st Place
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10.15Old Dominion University0.972.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 27.3% | 21.9% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 16.7% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Emma Tallman | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ella Hubbard | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Young | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Emily Allen | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 10.0% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 7.4% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 4.8% |
| Sofia Segalla | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Ashton Loring | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 9.6% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.0% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 16.3% | 43.5% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 17.3% | 17.3% |
| Gianna Dewey | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.