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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.37+4.31vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+6.99vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+4.41vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+3.42vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.33+0.23vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.36+2.47vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.14+2.30vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University2.55-0.20vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.40-0.73vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.06-3.73vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.77-3.83vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.02+3.59vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University1.00-0.20vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California1.75-3.66vs Predicted
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15University of Minnesota-0.16+0.69vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University0.26-1.15vs Predicted
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17University of Texas0.14-1.95vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.35-12.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.31College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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8.99St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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7.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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7.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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5.23Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.47University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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9.3Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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7.8Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.27Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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6.27Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.17Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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15.59University of California at Berkeley-0.020.0%1st Place
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12.8Northwestern University1.000.0%1st Place
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10.34University of Southern California1.750.0%1st Place
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15.69University of Minnesota-0.160.0%1st Place
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14.85Western Washington University0.260.0%1st Place
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15.05University of Texas0.140.0%1st Place
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5.06Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alie Toppa | 13.1% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Ungar | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 13.2% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.6% | 2.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte Rose | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 10.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Berwick | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 16.8% | 21.2% | 29.3% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 14.1% | 17.0% | 14.3% | 9.4% | 3.5% |
| Sarah Alexander | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Clara Brown | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 11.1% | 16.7% | 24.2% | 28.6% |
| Kendall Kracke | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 13.7% | 20.3% | 18.3% | 18.2% |
| Emily Verdoia | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 7.8% | 13.0% | 18.5% | 22.4% | 19.5% |
| Maia Agerup | 12.9% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.