← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.33+4.41vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University2.77+5.22vs Predicted
-
3Boston University3.35+2.30vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College3.06+1.98vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+2.16vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston3.37-0.90vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island2.36+1.51vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University2.40+0.25vs Predicted
-
9Jacksonville University2.55-1.22vs Predicted
-
10Old Dominion University2.14-0.56vs Predicted
-
11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-3.37vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-3.05vs Predicted
-
13University of Southern California1.75-2.54vs Predicted
-
14University of Texas0.14+0.92vs Predicted
-
15Northwestern University1.00-2.05vs Predicted
-
16University of Minnesota-0.16-0.25vs Predicted
-
17Western Washington University0.26-2.09vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Berkeley-0.02-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.41Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
-
7.22Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
-
5.3Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
-
5.98Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
-
7.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
-
5.1College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
-
8.51University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
-
8.25Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
-
7.78Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
-
9.44Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
-
7.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
-
8.95St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
-
10.46University of Southern California1.750.0%1st Place
-
14.92University of Texas0.140.0%1st Place
-
12.95Northwestern University1.000.0%1st Place
-
15.75University of Minnesota-0.160.0%1st Place
-
14.91Western Washington University0.260.0%1st Place
-
15.28University of California at Berkeley-0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 12.1% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 12.2% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 11.3% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 7.5% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 12.9% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Rose | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Bailey Carter | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Ungar | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Emily Verdoia | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 17.1% | 20.3% | 19.6% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 8.4% | 4.2% |
| Clara Brown | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 9.5% | 15.9% | 22.2% | 33.4% |
| Kendall Kracke | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 19.1% | 19.5% | 19.4% |
| Mackenzie Berwick | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 13.1% | 17.6% | 24.5% | 22.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.