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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+4.40vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.35+3.24vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+5.86vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.37+1.07vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.55+2.69vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+1.26vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.40+1.28vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.14+1.21vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.36-0.54vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-2.28vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.06-4.86vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.77-4.68vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University1.00-0.18vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-0.02+1.29vs Predicted
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15University of Minnesota-0.16+0.76vs Predicted
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16University of Southern California1.75-5.36vs Predicted
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17University of Texas0.14-1.83vs Predicted
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18Western Washington University0.26-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.4Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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5.24Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.86St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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5.07College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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7.69Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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8.28Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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9.21Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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8.46University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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7.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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6.14Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.32Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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12.82Northwestern University1.000.0%1st Place
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15.29University of California at Berkeley-0.020.0%1st Place
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15.76University of Minnesota-0.160.0%1st Place
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10.64University of Southern California1.750.0%1st Place
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15.17University of Texas0.140.0%1st Place
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14.68Western Washington University0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 12.1% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 11.4% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Ungar | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Alie Toppa | 14.5% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Rose | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 13.4% | 16.3% | 15.0% | 9.3% | 4.6% |
| Mackenzie Berwick | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 11.9% | 16.7% | 22.3% | 24.0% |
| Clara Brown | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 15.6% | 23.6% | 31.9% |
| Sarah Alexander | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Emily Verdoia | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 17.6% | 22.0% | 23.0% |
| Kendall Kracke | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 16.3% | 20.0% | 18.7% | 15.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.