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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+7.88vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.35+3.30vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.37+2.26vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+3.10vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.33+0.21vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.06+0.09vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.77+0.04vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University2.55-0.29vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.36-0.54vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California1.75+0.74vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-3.28vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.14-2.44vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.40-4.78vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University1.00-1.30vs Predicted
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15University of Minnesota-0.16+0.71vs Predicted
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16University of Texas0.14-0.88vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University0.26-2.10vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley-0.02-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.88St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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5.3Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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5.26College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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7.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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5.21Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.09Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.04Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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7.71Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.46University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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10.74University of Southern California1.750.0%1st Place
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7.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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9.56Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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8.22Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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12.7Northwestern University1.000.0%1st Place
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15.71University of Minnesota-0.160.0%1st Place
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15.12University of Texas0.140.0%1st Place
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14.9Western Washington University0.260.0%1st Place
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15.28University of California at Berkeley-0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Ungar | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Maia Agerup | 10.2% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 11.7% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 14.1% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Rose | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Bailey Carter | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Talia Toland | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 16.7% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 4.2% |
| Clara Brown | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 16.6% | 22.1% | 31.6% |
| Emily Verdoia | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 7.7% | 14.7% | 17.7% | 20.9% | 20.9% |
| Kendall Kracke | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 20.3% | 19.0% | 18.9% |
| Mackenzie Berwick | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 17.7% | 23.9% | 23.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.