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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.35+4.30vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.55+6.06vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.14+6.47vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.77+2.94vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.37+0.10vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.36+2.52vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.06-0.96vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-0.85vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.40-0.69vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-1.16vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.33-5.68vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-4.21vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California1.75-2.56vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University1.00-1.28vs Predicted
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15University of Minnesota-0.16+0.73vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley-0.02-0.54vs Predicted
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17University of Texas0.14-1.86vs Predicted
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18Western Washington University0.26-3.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.3Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.06Jacksonville University2.550.0%1st Place
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9.47Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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6.94Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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5.1College of Charleston3.370.2%1st Place
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8.52University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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6.04Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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8.31Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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8.84St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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5.32Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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10.44University of Southern California1.750.0%1st Place
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12.72Northwestern University1.000.0%1st Place
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15.73University of Minnesota-0.160.0%1st Place
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15.46University of California at Berkeley-0.020.0%1st Place
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15.14University of Texas0.140.0%1st Place
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14.67Western Washington University0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia Agerup | 12.3% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Rose | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 15.8% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 9.2% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Ungar | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 13.2% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 13.0% | 16.6% | 13.1% | 8.6% | 4.3% |
| Clara Brown | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 16.3% | 23.4% | 31.4% |
| Mackenzie Berwick | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 12.4% | 17.8% | 21.5% | 27.2% |
| Emily Verdoia | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 7.7% | 12.8% | 17.5% | 21.8% | 21.9% |
| Kendall Kracke | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 14.6% | 19.8% | 20.6% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.