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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+6.38vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.06+4.27vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.33+2.35vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.36+4.39vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.55+2.77vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.40+2.37vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.35-1.84vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.37-2.91vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-0.37vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.77-2.76vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California1.75-0.29vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.26+3.06vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-5.61vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-0.02+1.23vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.14-5.76vs Predicted
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16University of Minnesota-0.16-0.29vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University1.00-3.92vs Predicted
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18University of Texas0.14-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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6.27Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.35Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.39University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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7.77Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.37Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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5.16Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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5.09College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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8.63St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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7.24Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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10.71University of Southern California1.750.0%1st Place
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15.06Western Washington University0.260.0%1st Place
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7.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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15.23University of California at Berkeley-0.020.0%1st Place
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9.24Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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15.71University of Minnesota-0.160.0%1st Place
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13.08Northwestern University1.000.0%1st Place
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14.95University of Texas0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Hughes | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Giblin | 8.2% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.2% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte Rose | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 12.9% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 13.9% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Ungar | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Kendall Kracke | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 14.2% | 16.5% | 21.6% | 20.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Berwick | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 13.7% | 16.9% | 18.8% | 24.8% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Clara Brown | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 10.5% | 15.6% | 21.9% | 32.5% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 13.6% | 17.8% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 3.5% |
| Emily Verdoia | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 19.5% | 22.4% | 17.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.