← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University2.77+6.22vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island2.36+6.71vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+4.42vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+3.41vs Predicted
-
5Northwestern University1.00+7.76vs Predicted
-
6Yale University3.33-0.83vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College3.06-0.93vs Predicted
-
8College of Charleston3.37-2.93vs Predicted
-
9Boston University3.35-3.87vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University2.40-1.40vs Predicted
-
11Jacksonville University2.55-3.01vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University2.14-2.41vs Predicted
-
13University of Southern California1.75-2.56vs Predicted
-
14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-5.51vs Predicted
-
15Western Washington University0.26-0.19vs Predicted
-
16University of Minnesota-0.16-0.24vs Predicted
-
17University of Texas0.19-1.94vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Berkeley-0.02-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.22Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
-
8.71University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
-
7.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
-
7.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
-
12.76Northwestern University1.000.0%1st Place
-
5.17Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
-
6.07Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
-
5.07College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
-
5.13Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
-
8.6Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
-
7.99Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
-
9.59Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
-
10.44University of Southern California1.750.0%1st Place
-
8.49St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
-
14.81Western Washington University0.260.0%1st Place
-
15.76University of Minnesota-0.160.0%1st Place
-
15.06University of Texas0.190.0%1st Place
-
15.28University of California at Berkeley-0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Rizika | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 16.8% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 3.3% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 13.2% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 13.5% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 12.2% | 14.6% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Rose | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Alexander | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Ellie Ungar | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Kracke | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 20.4% | 18.0% | 17.7% |
| Clara Brown | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 16.1% | 22.7% | 33.0% |
| Theresa McComiskey | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 17.7% | 21.5% | 21.2% |
| Mackenzie Berwick | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 12.9% | 17.3% | 22.6% | 23.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.