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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.38+3.33vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.99+3.45vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+4.70vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.91+4.97vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.64+1.41vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.77+3.60vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+2.42vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.20-0.12vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California1.96-0.20vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-5.30vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.15-2.62vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.86-2.51vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.79-3.65vs Predicted
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14University of Minnesota-0.13+1.27vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University1.01-2.74vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley0.37-1.62vs Predicted
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17University of Texas0.65-3.45vs Predicted
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18Western Washington University-0.01-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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5.45Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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7.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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8.97Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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6.41College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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9.6Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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9.42St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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7.88Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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8.8University of Southern California1.960.0%1st Place
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4.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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8.38University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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9.49Jacksonville University1.860.0%1st Place
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9.35Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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15.27University of Minnesota-0.130.0%1st Place
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12.26Northwestern University1.010.0%1st Place
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14.38University of California at Berkeley0.370.0%1st Place
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13.55University of Texas0.650.0%1st Place
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15.07Western Washington University-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Klingler | 18.2% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma White | 10.9% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Groble | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 9.6% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Katherine Bennett | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Emily Haig | 15.0% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Read | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Paula Resto | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Allison Cahn | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Bailey Adkins | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 20.2% | 32.5% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 5.0% |
| Josefina Ruggieri | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 20.3% | 17.9% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 16.4% | 15.6% | 11.6% |
| Nikoline Alden | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 20.2% | 29.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.