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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.38+3.36vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.91+7.31vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+1.62vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.96+4.72vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+2.46vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.99-0.63vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.86+2.26vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.15+0.09vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+0.42vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.77-0.18vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.79-1.42vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.20-3.71vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.64-6.69vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University1.01-1.96vs Predicted
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15University of Minnesota-0.13+0.48vs Predicted
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16University of Texas0.65-2.51vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University-0.01-1.72vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley0.37-3.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.36Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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9.31Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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4.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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8.72University of Southern California1.960.0%1st Place
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7.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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5.37Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.26Jacksonville University1.860.0%1st Place
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8.09University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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9.42St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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9.82Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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9.58Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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8.29Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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6.31College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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12.04Northwestern University1.010.0%1st Place
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15.48University of Minnesota-0.130.0%1st Place
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13.49University of Texas0.650.0%1st Place
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15.28Western Washington University-0.010.0%1st Place
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14.11University of California at Berkeley0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Klingler | 16.9% | 16.4% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Emily Haig | 14.1% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Katherine Cox | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Emma White | 12.4% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paula Resto | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Rebecca Read | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Allison Cahn | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 4.3% |
| Bailey Adkins | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 22.1% | 34.2% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 11.2% |
| Nikoline Alden | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 12.7% | 22.8% | 31.0% |
| Josefina Ruggieri | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 17.5% | 17.7% | 16.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.