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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+2.31vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.77+4.83vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.99+7.08vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.10+3.74vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.81+2.52vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.20+0.30vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.71-2.65vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University-1.38-0.31vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.12+3.58vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+2.37vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University0.97-0.77vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.65+0.47vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.15-3.44vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-3.13vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.10-6.51vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-4.36vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.52-3.28vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan-0.64-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31Stanford University3.3025.7%1st Place
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6.83University of Pennsylvania1.777.2%1st Place
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10.08University of Rhode Island0.992.4%1st Place
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7.74Dartmouth College2.105.3%1st Place
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7.52College of Charleston1.816.5%1st Place
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6.3Georgetown University2.207.8%1st Place
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4.35Yale University2.7116.7%1st Place
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7.69Jacksonville University-1.386.3%1st Place
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12.58Clemson University0.121.4%1st Place
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12.37U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.291.5%1st Place
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10.23Old Dominion University0.972.6%1st Place
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12.47Christopher Newport University0.651.4%1st Place
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9.56Tufts University1.153.9%1st Place
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10.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.2%1st Place
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8.49Harvard University2.105.1%1st Place
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11.64St. Mary's College of Maryland0.671.5%1st Place
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13.72Connecticut College0.521.0%1st Place
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15.26University of Michigan-0.640.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 25.7% | 20.1% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Sarah Young | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Piper Holthus | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 16.7% | 15.7% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ashton Loring | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 9.6% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 8.7% |
| Gianna Dewey | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 9.3% |
| Ella Hubbard | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 2.5% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 3.9% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 18.1% | 17.3% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 42.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.