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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.99+4.52vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.96+7.26vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.38+1.31vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.15+4.15vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+4.47vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.12+2.46vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+0.54vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.77+1.63vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.91+0.13vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-5.23vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley0.37+3.32vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.64-5.23vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.20-5.02vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University1.01-1.85vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University1.86-5.69vs Predicted
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16University of Texas0.65-2.43vs Predicted
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17University of Minnesota-0.13-1.43vs Predicted
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18Western Washington University-0.01-2.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.52Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.26University of Southern California1.960.0%1st Place
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4.31Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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8.15University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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9.47St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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8.46Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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7.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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9.63Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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9.13Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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4.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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14.32University of California at Berkeley0.370.0%1st Place
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6.77College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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7.98Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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12.15Northwestern University1.010.0%1st Place
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9.31Jacksonville University1.860.0%1st Place
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13.57University of Texas0.650.0%1st Place
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15.57University of Minnesota-0.130.0%1st Place
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15.08Western Washington University-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma White | 11.0% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 3.6% | 2.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Christine Klingler | 16.2% | 18.6% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Read | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Grace Mooradian | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Cox | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Bridget Groble | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Emily Haig | 15.0% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josefina Ruggieri | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 20.7% | 18.0% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 4.2% |
| Paula Resto | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 17.8% | 14.5% | 10.2% |
| Bailey Adkins | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 13.0% | 19.6% | 37.8% |
| Nikoline Alden | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 21.8% | 27.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.