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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.15+7.42vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.77+7.90vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.38+1.32vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.99+1.31vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.12+3.31vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+3.58vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.86+2.35vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.64-1.54vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California1.96-0.12vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-5.25vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.91-1.78vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-4.09vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University1.01-0.77vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.20-6.13vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley0.37-0.69vs Predicted
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16University of Texas0.65-2.44vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University-0.01-1.73vs Predicted
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18University of Minnesota-0.13-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.42University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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9.9Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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4.32Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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5.31Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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8.31Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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9.58St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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9.35Jacksonville University1.860.0%1st Place
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6.46College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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8.88University of Southern California1.960.0%1st Place
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4.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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9.22Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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7.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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12.23Northwestern University1.010.0%1st Place
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7.87Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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14.31University of California at Berkeley0.370.0%1st Place
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13.56University of Texas0.650.0%1st Place
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15.27Western Washington University-0.010.0%1st Place
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15.36University of Minnesota-0.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Read | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Abbie Carlson | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Christine Klingler | 17.4% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma White | 12.5% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Mooradian | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Paula Resto | 4.7% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 8.4% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Emily Haig | 14.4% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Katherine Cox | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 4.7% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Josefina Ruggieri | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 17.0% | 18.7% | 16.6% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 11.7% |
| Nikoline Alden | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 13.4% | 21.3% | 31.9% |
| Bailey Adkins | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 15.1% | 20.9% | 32.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.