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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.38+3.30vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.21+6.19vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.77+6.92vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.86+5.17vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.99+0.26vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.12+2.35vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.91+2.05vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.46+5.97vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.11-0.73vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-5.33vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-3.37vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.15-3.54vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-3.64vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California1.96-5.41vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University1.01-2.65vs Predicted
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16University of Minnesota-0.13-0.41vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley0.37-2.56vs Predicted
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18University of Texas0.65-4.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.3Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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8.19College of Charleston2.210.0%1st Place
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9.92Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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9.17Jacksonville University1.860.0%1st Place
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5.26Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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8.35Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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9.05Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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13.97Western Washington University0.460.0%1st Place
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8.27Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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4.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.2%1st Place
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7.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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8.46University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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9.36St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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8.59University of Southern California1.960.0%1st Place
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12.35Northwestern University1.010.0%1st Place
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15.59University of Minnesota-0.130.0%1st Place
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14.44University of California at Berkeley0.370.0%1st Place
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13.41University of Texas0.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Klingler | 18.0% | 16.5% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liza Toppa | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Abbie Carlson | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Paula Resto | 4.3% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Emma White | 13.9% | 14.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Mooradian | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Bridget Groble | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Marijke Jorna | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 19.7% | 17.3% |
| Sebby Turner | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Emily Haig | 16.4% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Rebecca Read | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Grace Yakutis | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 6.2% |
| Bailey Adkins | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 17.7% | 40.7% |
| Josefina Ruggieri | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 15.4% | 19.7% | 20.8% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 17.1% | 16.2% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.