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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+3.76vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.12+6.66vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.38+1.25vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+3.48vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.91+4.11vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.50+1.09vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.15+1.28vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.86+1.27vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+0.54vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.21-1.71vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.99-5.50vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California1.96-2.70vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.77-3.43vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University1.01-1.84vs Predicted
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15University of Texas0.65-1.43vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University0.46-1.79vs Predicted
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17University of Minnesota-0.13-1.32vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley0.37-3.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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8.66Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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4.25Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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7.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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9.11Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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7.09Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.28University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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9.27Jacksonville University1.860.0%1st Place
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9.54St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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8.29College of Charleston2.210.1%1st Place
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5.5Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.3University of Southern California1.960.0%1st Place
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9.57Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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12.16Northwestern University1.010.0%1st Place
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13.57University of Texas0.650.0%1st Place
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14.21Western Washington University0.460.0%1st Place
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15.68University of Minnesota-0.130.0%1st Place
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14.27University of California at Berkeley0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Haig | 14.4% | 15.5% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Mooradian | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Christine Klingler | 17.3% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Bridget Groble | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Daisy Holthus | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Read | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Paula Resto | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Liza Toppa | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Emma White | 12.0% | 13.6% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Grace Yakutis | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 5.5% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 15.1% | 16.2% | 12.7% |
| Marijke Jorna | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 18.9% | 18.0% |
| Bailey Adkins | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 19.5% | 41.6% |
| Josefina Ruggieri | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 15.4% | 20.1% | 18.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.