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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+3.73vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.99+3.51vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.38+1.27vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.12+4.22vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+4.48vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.17+2.19vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.500.00vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.15+0.17vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-1.47vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University1.01+2.51vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.86-1.60vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.77-2.01vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-0.01+2.05vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.91-5.17vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California1.96-6.15vs Predicted
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16University of Texas0.65-2.45vs Predicted
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17University of Minnesota-0.13-1.46vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley0.37-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.2%1st Place
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5.51Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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4.27Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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8.22Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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9.48St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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8.19College of Charleston2.170.1%1st Place
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7.0Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.17University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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7.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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12.51Northwestern University1.010.0%1st Place
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9.4Jacksonville University1.860.0%1st Place
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9.99Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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15.05Western Washington University-0.010.0%1st Place
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8.83Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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8.85University of Southern California1.960.0%1st Place
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13.55University of Texas0.650.0%1st Place
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15.54University of Minnesota-0.130.0%1st Place
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14.17University of California at Berkeley0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Haig | 15.1% | 15.3% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma White | 10.9% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 17.8% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Mooradian | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Nicole Simon | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Daisy Holthus | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Rebecca Read | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Cox | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 4.9% |
| Paula Resto | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Nikoline Alden | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 15.7% | 19.6% | 29.5% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Grace Yakutis | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 15.9% | 10.3% |
| Bailey Adkins | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 21.5% | 36.5% |
| Josefina Ruggieri | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 16.3% | 19.1% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.