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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.12+7.54vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.38+2.29vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.99+2.48vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.15+4.17vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-0.42vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.91+3.15vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.17+1.15vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.96+0.91vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+0.46vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.50-2.80vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-3.35vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.86-2.44vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University1.01-0.83vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.77-4.66vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley0.37-0.72vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University-0.01-0.72vs Predicted
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17University of Minnesota-0.13-1.47vs Predicted
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18University of Texas0.65-4.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.54Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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4.29Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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5.48Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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8.17University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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4.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.2%1st Place
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9.15Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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8.15College of Charleston2.170.1%1st Place
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8.91University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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9.46St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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7.2Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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9.56Jacksonville University1.860.0%1st Place
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12.17Northwestern University1.010.0%1st Place
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9.34Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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14.28University of California at Berkeley0.370.0%1st Place
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15.28Western Washington University-0.010.0%1st Place
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15.53University of Minnesota-0.130.0%1st Place
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13.26University of Texas0.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Mooradian | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Christine Klingler | 14.4% | 17.8% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma White | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Read | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Emily Haig | 17.0% | 16.3% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Nicole Simon | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Grace Yakutis | 5.3% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Daisy Holthus | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Paula Resto | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 4.6% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Josefina Ruggieri | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 15.1% | 20.2% | 16.3% |
| Nikoline Alden | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 14.4% | 20.3% | 31.4% |
| Bailey Adkins | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 13.9% | 19.1% | 36.5% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.