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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+2.12vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.71+2.31vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.10+5.24vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.20+2.39vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.77+1.90vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+4.41vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University-1.38+0.42vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston1.81-0.58vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+2.90vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.15-0.69vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.10-3.36vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.99-2.26vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-1.62vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University0.97-4.05vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University0.65-2.82vs Predicted
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16Clemson University0.12-3.95vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan-0.64-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12Stanford University3.3026.6%1st Place
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4.31Yale University2.7116.5%1st Place
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8.24Harvard University2.104.7%1st Place
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6.39Georgetown University2.207.9%1st Place
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6.9University of Pennsylvania1.777.5%1st Place
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10.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.852.2%1st Place
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7.42Jacksonville University-1.386.7%1st Place
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7.42College of Charleston1.816.0%1st Place
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11.9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.292.1%1st Place
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9.31Tufts University1.152.7%1st Place
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7.64Dartmouth College2.105.4%1st Place
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9.74University of Rhode Island0.993.1%1st Place
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11.38St. Mary's College of Maryland0.672.4%1st Place
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9.95Old Dominion University0.972.7%1st Place
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12.18Christopher Newport University0.651.1%1st Place
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12.05Clemson University0.121.9%1st Place
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14.65University of Michigan-0.640.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 26.6% | 21.0% | 17.8% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 16.5% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Piper Holthus | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sofia Segalla | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 4.0% |
| Emily Allen | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Emma Tallman | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 10.7% |
| Ella Hubbard | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Sarah Young | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 6.5% |
| Gianna Dewey | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 11.1% |
| Ashton Loring | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 10.8% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 14.0% | 47.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.