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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.77+8.62vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.15+6.28vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+3.43vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+3.20vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.91+3.81vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.17+1.96vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.99-1.83vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.12+0.03vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.38-5.06vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01-1.27vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.50-4.05vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University1.01+0.43vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California1.96-4.43vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley0.37-0.12vs Predicted
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15University of Minnesota-0.13+0.40vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University-0.01-0.83vs Predicted
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17University of Texas0.65-3.55vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University1.30-7.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.62Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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8.28University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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6.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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7.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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8.81Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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7.96College of Charleston2.170.1%1st Place
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5.17Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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8.03Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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3.94Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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8.73St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.1%1st Place
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6.95Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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12.43Northwestern University1.010.0%1st Place
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8.57University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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13.88University of California at Berkeley0.370.0%1st Place
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15.4University of Minnesota-0.130.0%1st Place
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15.17Western Washington University-0.010.0%1st Place
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13.45University of Texas0.650.0%1st Place
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10.98Jacksonville University1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbie Carlson | 4.3% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Rebecca Read | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Dana Haig | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Bridget Groble | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Nicole Simon | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Emma White | 13.0% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Mooradian | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Christine Klingler | 19.3% | 18.6% | 14.8% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Daisy Holthus | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 5.1% |
| Grace Yakutis | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Josefina Ruggieri | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 15.1% | 18.7% | 14.6% |
| Bailey Adkins | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 13.3% | 20.5% | 34.7% |
| Nikoline Alden | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 19.1% | 31.2% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 16.2% | 15.5% | 11.1% |
| Shaynah True | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.