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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.72+4.84vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+8.38vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.16+9.30vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.62+6.02vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.69+4.72vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.44+4.93vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.35+0.05vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.76+1.49vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+2.56vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.77-0.19vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.20-3.16vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.33-4.47vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.06-4.83vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.37-7.24vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.24-3.29vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-6.20vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.36-5.60vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.46-7.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.84Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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10.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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12.3University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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10.02Stanford University2.620.0%1st Place
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9.72Harvard University2.690.0%1st Place
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10.93University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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7.05Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.49George Washington University2.760.0%1st Place
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11.56St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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9.81Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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7.84Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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7.53Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.17Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.76College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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11.71Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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9.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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11.4University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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10.71Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragna Agerup | 12.0% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 14.7% |
| Stephanie Houck | 4.9% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 4.8% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Riley Legault | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% |
| Ellie Ungar | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.2% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Claire Havig | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 13.5% |
| Annie Hughes | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.7% |
| Haddon Hughes | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.