← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+8.95vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College3.06+6.45vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island2.36+8.55vs Predicted
-
4Yale University3.33+3.09vs Predicted
-
5Boston University3.35+2.06vs Predicted
-
6University of Pennsylvania2.44+4.89vs Predicted
-
7Cornell University2.77+2.55vs Predicted
-
8College of Charleston3.37-1.07vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University2.69+0.81vs Predicted
-
10University of South Florida2.16+2.35vs Predicted
-
11George Washington University2.76-1.28vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-0.17vs Predicted
-
13Boston College3.20-5.40vs Predicted
-
14Bowdoin College2.24-2.56vs Predicted
-
15Georgetown University2.46-4.16vs Predicted
-
16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-5.87vs Predicted
-
17Brown University3.72-11.16vs Predicted
-
18Stanford University2.62-8.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
-
8.45Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
-
11.55University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
-
7.09Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
-
7.06Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
-
10.89University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
-
9.55Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
-
6.93College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
-
9.81Harvard University2.690.0%1st Place
-
12.35University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
-
9.72George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
-
11.83St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
-
7.6Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
-
11.44Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
-
10.84Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
-
10.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
-
5.84Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
-
9.96Stanford University2.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Hughes | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% |
| Audrey Giblin | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 2.7% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.4% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.2% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Ava Esquier | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.3% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% |
| Alie Toppa | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Emma Kaneti | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 13.4% | 15.1% |
| Riley Legault | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% |
| Ellie Ungar | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 12.8% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Claire Havig | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 11.2% |
| Haddon Hughes | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% |
| Bailey Carter | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% |
| Ragna Agerup | 13.8% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Stephanie Houck | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.