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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.72+4.91vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+9.78vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.37+4.20vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.69+5.75vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.46+5.74vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+3.76vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.44+3.90vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.33-0.89vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.76+0.56vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.62+0.48vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.36+0.38vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-1.49vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.16-1.08vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.20-6.57vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.35-8.01vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.06-7.65vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.77-7.34vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.24-6.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.91Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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11.78St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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7.2College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.75Harvard University2.690.0%1st Place
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10.74Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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9.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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10.9University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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7.11Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.56George Washington University2.760.0%1st Place
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10.48Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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11.38University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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10.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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11.92University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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7.43Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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6.99Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.35Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.66Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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11.58Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragna Agerup | 11.7% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ellie Ungar | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.8% |
| Alie Toppa | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Emma Kaneti | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% |
| Haddon Hughes | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.8% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Riley Legault | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% |
| Stephanie Houck | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.6% |
| Bailey Carter | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 15.1% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Audrey Giblin | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% |
| Claire Havig | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 11.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.