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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.37+6.28vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.35+5.24vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.76+6.82vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.69+5.69vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.33+2.14vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.20+1.68vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.16+5.07vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.72-2.36vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.36+2.29vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.00vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+0.62vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.44-0.67vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-2.99vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.77-4.78vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.06-6.77vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.62-5.81vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.46-5.99vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.24-6.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.28College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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7.24Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.82George Washington University2.760.0%1st Place
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9.69Harvard University2.690.0%1st Place
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7.14Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.68Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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12.07University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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5.64Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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11.29University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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10.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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11.62St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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11.33University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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10.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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9.22Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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8.23Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.19Stanford University2.620.0%1st Place
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11.01Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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11.54Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alie Toppa | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Maia Agerup | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Riley Legault | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
| Emma Kaneti | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 13.4% |
| Ragna Agerup | 12.5% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Delaney Bamford | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 8.5% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% |
| Ellie Ungar | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 12.4% |
| Ava Esquier | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 11.1% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% |
| Audrey Giblin | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% |
| Stephanie Houck | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% |
| Haddon Hughes | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% |
| Claire Havig | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 12.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.