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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.35+6.18vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.20+5.73vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.06+5.34vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.33+2.97vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.62+4.87vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.44+4.73vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.37-0.17vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.72-2.53vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.20+2.78vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.16+2.11vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.46-0.14vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.36-0.52vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.76-3.80vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.03-1.94vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.69-5.41vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-6.04vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-7.30vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-6.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.18Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.73Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.34Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.97Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.87Stanford University2.620.0%1st Place
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10.73University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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6.83College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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5.47Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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11.78Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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12.11University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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10.86Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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11.48University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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9.2George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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12.06Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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9.59Harvard University2.690.0%1st Place
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9.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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9.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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11.13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia Agerup | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| Audrey Giblin | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Stephanie Houck | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Ragna Agerup | 14.0% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.1% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 13.1% |
| Haddon Hughes | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 11.4% |
| Riley Legault | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Ellie Maus | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 16.4% |
| Emma Kaneti | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Ellie Ungar | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.