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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.20+6.76vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.77+7.59vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.72+2.68vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.69+5.53vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+6.25vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.37+0.79vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.76+2.38vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.35-1.12vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.36+2.12vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.16+2.20vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.46-0.14vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.33-4.65vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.44-2.39vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.62-4.36vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.49-4.54vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.03-3.49vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-6.91vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-8.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.76Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.59Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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5.68Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.53Harvard University2.690.0%1st Place
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11.25St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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6.79College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.38George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.88Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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11.12University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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12.2University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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10.86Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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7.35Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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10.61University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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9.64Stanford University2.620.0%1st Place
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10.46Dartmouth College2.490.0%1st Place
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12.51Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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10.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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9.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Gabby Rizika | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% |
| Ragna Agerup | 12.0% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emma Kaneti | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% |
| Ellie Ungar | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 10.7% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Riley Legault | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 14.8% |
| Haddon Hughes | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Ava Esquier | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% |
| Stephanie Houck | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% |
| Kathryn Hall | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% |
| Ellie Maus | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 18.5% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.