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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.46+10.05vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+5.39vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.72+2.83vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.20+3.65vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.69+4.76vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.35+1.08vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.76+2.58vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+3.40vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.44+1.93vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.24+2.04vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.37-3.84vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.36-0.34vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-3.43vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.16-2.20vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.06-6.80vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-5.77vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.77-7.28vs Predicted
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18Stanford University2.62-8.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.05Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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7.39Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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5.83Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.65Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.76Harvard University2.690.0%1st Place
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7.08Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.58George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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11.4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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10.93University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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12.04Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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7.16College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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11.66University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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9.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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11.8University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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8.2Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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9.72Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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9.97Stanford University2.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haddon Hughes | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Ragna Agerup | 11.1% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% |
| Emma Kaneti | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% |
| Maia Agerup | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Riley Legault | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% |
| Ellie Ungar | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 12.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% |
| Claire Havig | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 13.4% |
| Alie Toppa | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Delaney Bamford | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 12.1% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 14.1% |
| Audrey Giblin | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% |
| Stephanie Houck | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.