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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+6.18vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.72+3.67vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.35+4.07vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.69+5.48vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.06+3.06vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.46+4.66vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.44+3.68vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.76+1.23vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.18+6.14vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.37-2.93vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.62-0.92vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-1.76vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.24-1.70vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.20-6.69vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.16-3.21vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-6.42vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.77-7.56vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-6.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.18Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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5.67Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.07Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.48Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.06Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.66Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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10.68University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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9.23George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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15.14University of Rhode Island1.180.0%1st Place
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7.07College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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10.08Stanford University2.620.0%1st Place
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10.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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11.3Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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7.31Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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11.79University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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9.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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9.44Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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11.02St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Ragna Agerup | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Maia Agerup | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Emma Kaneti | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Audrey Giblin | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Haddon Hughes | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 5.5% |
| Ava Esquier | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 4.6% |
| Riley Legault | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Meghan Haviland | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 13.1% | 45.9% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Stephanie Houck | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.0% |
| Claire Havig | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 2.9% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 8.2% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.6% |
| Ellie Ungar | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.