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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.72+4.68vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.06+6.19vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.33+4.04vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.35+2.75vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.46+5.37vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.44+4.57vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.16+4.62vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.76+1.13vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.20-1.71vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.20+1.83vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.24+0.54vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.37-4.98vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.69-3.67vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-4.96vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.18-0.04vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-6.18vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-5.78vs Predicted
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18Stanford University2.62-8.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.19Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.04Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.75Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.37Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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10.57University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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11.62University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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9.13George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.29Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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11.83Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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11.54Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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7.02College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.33Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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14.96University of Rhode Island1.180.0%1st Place
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9.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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11.22St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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9.61Stanford University2.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragna Agerup | 12.0% | 13.8% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Giblin | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.2% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Haddon Hughes | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.6% |
| Ava Esquier | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 4.9% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 8.3% |
| Riley Legault | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 9.4% |
| Claire Havig | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.0% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Emma Kaneti | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Meghan Haviland | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 13.0% | 43.2% |
| Bailey Carter | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 2.8% |
| Ellie Ungar | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 6.8% |
| Stephanie Houck | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.