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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.72+4.67vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.69+7.73vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.33+4.03vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.06+3.82vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.20+2.38vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+5.17vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.76+2.18vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.44+2.49vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.37-2.43vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-0.06vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.35-4.14vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.46-1.22vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.62-3.34vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.16-2.68vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-5.68vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.20-4.30vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.24-5.50vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island1.18-3.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.67Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.73Harvard University2.690.0%1st Place
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7.03Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.82Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.38Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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11.17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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9.18George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.49University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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6.57College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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6.86Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.78Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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9.66Stanford University2.620.0%1st Place
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11.32University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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9.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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11.7Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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11.5Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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14.87University of Rhode Island1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragna Agerup | 12.4% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Giblin | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.8% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Ellie Ungar | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.9% |
| Riley Legault | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 3.8% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Bailey Carter | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Haddon Hughes | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% |
| Stephanie Houck | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 9.0% |
| Claire Havig | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.5% |
| Meghan Haviland | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 42.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.