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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+6.23vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.72+3.70vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.20+4.72vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+7.16vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.76+4.28vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.16+5.87vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+2.47vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.37-1.26vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.62+0.94vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.06-1.66vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.69-1.19vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.46-1.02vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.44-2.44vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.02-1.95vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.35-8.17vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.20-4.15vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-6.92vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.24-6.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.23Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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5.7Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.72Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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11.16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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9.28George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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11.87University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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9.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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6.74College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.94Stanford University2.620.0%1st Place
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8.34Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.81Harvard University2.690.0%1st Place
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10.98Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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10.56University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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12.05University of Rhode Island2.020.0%1st Place
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6.83Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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11.85Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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10.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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11.39Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Ragna Agerup | 10.8% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Ellie Ungar | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.8% |
| Riley Legault | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.5% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 14.5% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Stephanie Houck | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% |
| Audrey Giblin | 7.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Emma Kaneti | 4.9% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.1% |
| Haddon Hughes | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% |
| Ava Esquier | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% |
| Kylie Castellano | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 15.2% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 12.6% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% |
| Claire Havig | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.