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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+5.34vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.65+6.78vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+7.14vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.15+2.49vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.17+5.41vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.18+0.43vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.50+2.18vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.35+1.70vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.43+0.44vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.99-2.56vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.12-0.11vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.94-0.13vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.14+1.21vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.38-8.42vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.15-4.45vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.03-4.83vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-4.79vs Predicted
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18Stanford University2.22-7.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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8.78Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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10.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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6.49Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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10.41College of Charleston2.170.0%1st Place
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6.43Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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9.18Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.7George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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9.44University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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7.44Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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10.89Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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11.87University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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14.21Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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5.58Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.55University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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11.17Georgetown University2.030.0%1st Place
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12.21St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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10.18Stanford University2.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Haig | 9.8% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Gavula | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 2.5% |
| Sophia Reineke | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Nicole Simon | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% |
| Hannah Steadman | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Daisy Holthus | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% |
| Lenox Butcher | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| Emma White | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Grace Mooradian | 4.4% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 10.3% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 34.1% |
| Christine Klingler | 13.0% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Rebecca Read | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 13.5% |
| Sophia Sole | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.