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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.50+8.44vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+4.31vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.35+7.03vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.15+6.57vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.12+5.69vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.14+8.37vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.18-0.57vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+1.78vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.94+2.52vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.38-4.06vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.22-0.52vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.43-2.07vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.17-2.59vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.65-5.71vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.99-7.86vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.15-9.39vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-4.86vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.03-7.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.44Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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10.03George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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10.57University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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10.69Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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14.37Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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6.43Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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9.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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11.52University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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5.94Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.48Stanford University2.220.0%1st Place
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9.93University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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10.41College of Charleston2.170.0%1st Place
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8.29Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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7.14Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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6.61Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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12.14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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10.94Georgetown University2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daisy Holthus | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Emily Haig | 9.2% | 12.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 1.9% |
| Rebecca Read | 3.5% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% |
| Grace Mooradian | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 35.7% |
| Hannah Steadman | 10.2% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 7.5% |
| Christine Klingler | 12.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Sole | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 4.6% |
| Lenox Butcher | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% |
| Nicole Simon | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Emma White | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Sophia Reineke | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 12.1% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.