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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.65+7.82vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.15+4.74vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.35+6.97vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.38+1.66vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.43+4.40vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.14+8.38vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.99+0.19vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-1.95vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.22+1.33vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.03+1.36vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.18-4.44vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.17-1.08vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-3.25vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.94-2.79vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.15-4.38vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-3.86vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.12-6.07vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.50-9.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.82Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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6.74Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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9.97George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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5.66Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.4University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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14.38Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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7.19Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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6.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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10.33Stanford University2.220.0%1st Place
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11.36Georgetown University2.030.0%1st Place
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6.56Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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10.92College of Charleston2.170.0%1st Place
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9.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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11.21University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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10.62University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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12.14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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10.93Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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8.98Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Gavula | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Sophia Reineke | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| Christine Klingler | 14.0% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lenox Butcher | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 14.9% | 34.9% |
| Emma White | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Emily Haig | 10.8% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Sole | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.5% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% |
| Hannah Steadman | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Nicole Simon | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% |
| Rebecca Read | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 13.2% |
| Grace Mooradian | 4.1% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 5.7% |
| Daisy Holthus | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.