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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+2.28vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.71+2.33vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.10+5.44vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.10+3.94vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.20+1.23vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.99+3.73vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.81+0.53vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.77-1.18vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-0.64+6.34vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+2.32vs Predicted
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11Clemson University0.12+1.46vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University-1.38-4.30vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College-0.29+1.49vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.15-4.39vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University0.97-4.84vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-5.28vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-5.62vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University0.65-5.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28Stanford University3.3027.4%1st Place
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4.33Yale University2.7116.5%1st Place
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8.44Harvard University2.104.6%1st Place
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7.94Dartmouth College2.105.1%1st Place
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6.23Georgetown University2.208.6%1st Place
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9.73University of Rhode Island0.993.1%1st Place
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7.53College of Charleston1.815.7%1st Place
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6.82University of Pennsylvania1.777.6%1st Place
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15.34University of Michigan-0.640.6%1st Place
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12.32U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.291.5%1st Place
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12.46Clemson University0.121.0%1st Place
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7.7Jacksonville University-1.385.5%1st Place
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14.49Connecticut College-0.290.8%1st Place
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9.61Tufts University1.153.3%1st Place
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10.16Old Dominion University0.972.9%1st Place
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10.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.852.5%1st Place
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11.38St. Mary's College of Maryland0.671.7%1st Place
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12.53Christopher Newport University0.651.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 27.4% | 18.3% | 16.2% | 13.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 16.5% | 15.6% | 15.8% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Young | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Emma Tallman | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sofia Segalla | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 18.8% | 38.4% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 7.5% |
| Ashton Loring | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 7.8% |
| Emily Allen | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Natalie Fear | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 19.1% | 26.6% |
| Ella Hubbard | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Gianna Dewey | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 4.2% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.