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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia3.54+3.17vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.39+2.47vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.84+5.60vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+0.30vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.84+0.98vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland2.09+2.05vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.28-2.15vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.92-2.18vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University0.98+1.96vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.33-5.18vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.85-2.27vs Predicted
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12William and Mary0.66-0.16vs Predicted
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13Princeton University0.13-0.15vs Predicted
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15Drexel University0.20-2.41vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University0.48-4.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.17University of Virginia3.540.2%1st Place
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4.47Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.6Hampton University1.840.0%1st Place
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4.3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.2%1st Place
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5.98George Washington University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.05University of Maryland2.090.0%1st Place
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4.85SUNY Maritime College3.280.1%1st Place
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5.82Old Dominion University2.920.1%1st Place
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10.96Monmouth University0.980.0%1st Place
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4.82U. S. Naval Academy3.330.1%1st Place
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8.73Fordham University1.850.0%1st Place
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11.84William and Mary0.660.0%1st Place
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12.85Princeton University0.130.0%1st Place
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12.59Drexel University0.200.0%1st Place
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11.97Christopher Newport University0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Wolcott | 16.5% | 17.3% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Johns | 13.7% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Shoemaker | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Mayumi Roller | 16.1% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Ricketson | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Russell Cramer | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Randall Hartranft | 12.4% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zach Runci | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paul Luisi | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 15.5% | 13.0% | 6.3% |
| Alejandro Ravelo | 11.9% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John O'Riordan | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Andrew Bryan | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 19.2% | 17.3% | 14.1% |
| Eleanor Elbert | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 14.2% | 23.0% | 31.8% |
| Trevor Nederlof | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 21.3% | 27.0% |
| Ian McAllister | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 13.5% | 17.2% | 19.0% | 18.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.