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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+11.21vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.99+5.32vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.35+7.10vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+5.75vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.15+1.56vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.22+4.35vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.43+2.46vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.12+2.66vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.15+1.70vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-3.60vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.14+3.46vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.17-1.10vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.03-2.08vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.38-8.49vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.50-5.86vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.18-9.52vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.65-8.27vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.94-6.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.21St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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7.32Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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10.1George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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9.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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6.56Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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10.35Stanford University2.220.0%1st Place
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9.46University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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10.66Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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10.7University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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6.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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14.46Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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10.9College of Charleston2.170.0%1st Place
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10.92Georgetown University2.030.0%1st Place
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5.51Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.14Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.48Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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8.73Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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11.36University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Bennett | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 13.8% |
| Emma White | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% |
| Sophia Reineke | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Sole | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% |
| Lenox Butcher | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| Grace Mooradian | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 4.9% |
| Rebecca Read | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% |
| Emily Haig | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 14.7% | 35.8% |
| Nicole Simon | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 5.7% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.3% |
| Christine Klingler | 12.0% | 14.3% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Daisy Holthus | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% |
| Hannah Steadman | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.