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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.99+6.30vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.65+6.66vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.18+3.54vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.35+5.59vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.43+4.30vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.38-0.36vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-0.94vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.94+3.34vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.11+1.72vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.15-3.29vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.22-0.61vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-1.81vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.15-2.63vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.21-4.01vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-3.09vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.14-1.62vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.12-6.20vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University1.96-6.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.3Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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8.66Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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6.54Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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9.59George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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9.3University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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5.64Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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11.34University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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10.72Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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6.71Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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10.39Stanford University2.220.0%1st Place
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10.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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10.37University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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9.99College of Charleston2.210.0%1st Place
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11.91St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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14.38Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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10.8Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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11.11Georgetown University1.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma White | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Hannah Steadman | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% |
| Lenox Butcher | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 12.2% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Haig | 11.0% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.2% |
| Sebby Turner | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 4.4% |
| Sophia Reineke | 10.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Sole | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% |
| Katherine Cox | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% |
| Rebecca Read | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% |
| Liza Toppa | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 11.1% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 35.2% |
| Grace Mooradian | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 6.4% |
| Carly Broussard | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.