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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+5.27vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.99+5.23vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.14+11.47vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.38+1.60vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.18+1.38vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.96+5.30vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.35+2.66vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.21+2.18vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.11+1.75vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.65-1.28vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.43-1.49vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.15-1.08vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.22-2.84vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-4.56vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-3.11vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.15-9.46vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.94-5.46vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.12-7.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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7.23Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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14.47Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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5.6Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.38Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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11.3Georgetown University1.960.0%1st Place
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9.66George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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10.18College of Charleston2.210.0%1st Place
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10.75Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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8.72Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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9.51University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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10.92University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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10.16Stanford University2.220.1%1st Place
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9.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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11.89St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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6.54Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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11.54University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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10.45Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Haig | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emma White | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 36.1% |
| Christine Klingler | 12.6% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Steadman | 10.9% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Carly Broussard | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.9% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.6% |
| Liza Toppa | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% |
| Sebby Turner | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Lenox Butcher | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% |
| Rebecca Read | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% |
| Sophia Sole | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 3.9% |
| Katherine Cox | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 2.8% |
| Katherine Bennett | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.4% |
| Sophia Reineke | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 7.6% |
| Grace Mooradian | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.