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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.99+6.33vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.35+8.01vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.65+5.71vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.11+6.67vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01+6.07vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+3.83vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.15-0.50vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.94+3.36vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.12+1.71vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.18-3.38vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.15-0.24vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.43-2.20vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.22-2.86vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.14+0.06vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.38-9.39vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-9.85vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston2.21-6.48vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University1.96-6.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.33Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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10.01George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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8.71Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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10.67Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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11.07St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.0%1st Place
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9.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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6.5Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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11.36University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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10.71Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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6.62Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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10.76University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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9.8University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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10.14Stanford University2.220.0%1st Place
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14.06Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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5.61Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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10.52College of Charleston2.210.0%1st Place
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11.17Georgetown University1.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma White | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 3.4% | 2.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 8.3% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% |
| Sophia Reineke | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 10.1% |
| Grace Mooradian | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% |
| Hannah Steadman | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Rebecca Read | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% |
| Lenox Butcher | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% |
| Sophia Sole | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 14.4% | 32.7% |
| Christine Klingler | 12.5% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Emily Haig | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Liza Toppa | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 4.9% |
| Carly Broussard | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.