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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.15+5.71vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.18+4.53vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.11+8.08vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.15+6.49vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.35+4.68vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.38-0.36vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.65+1.52vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.99-0.95vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.14+5.38vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-3.66vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.22-0.57vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.12-0.90vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01-1.98vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.43-4.89vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University1.96-3.66vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston2.21-5.63vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.94-5.40vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-8.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.71Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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6.53Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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11.08Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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10.49University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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9.68George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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5.64Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.52Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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7.05Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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14.38Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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6.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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10.43Stanford University2.220.0%1st Place
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11.1Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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11.02St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.0%1st Place
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9.11University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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11.34Georgetown University1.960.0%1st Place
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10.37College of Charleston2.210.0%1st Place
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11.6University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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9.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Reineke | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Steadman | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Sebby Turner | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 5.8% |
| Rebecca Read | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% |
| Christine Klingler | 11.9% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Emma White | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 15.4% | 34.2% |
| Emily Haig | 12.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Sole | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% |
| Grace Mooradian | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.7% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% |
| Lenox Butcher | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Carly Broussard | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.2% |
| Liza Toppa | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 9.2% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.