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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.15+5.71vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.99+5.27vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.64+5.72vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.65+4.32vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+1.05vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.22+4.29vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.38-1.38vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.15+2.45vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+0.75vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.35-0.04vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.18-4.57vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.43-2.27vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01-2.01vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.14+0.02vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.55-2.12vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.94-4.53vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.11-6.14vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University1.86-6.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.71Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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7.27Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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8.72College of Charleston2.640.0%1st Place
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8.32Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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6.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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10.29Stanford University2.220.0%1st Place
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5.62Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.45University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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9.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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9.96George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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6.43Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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9.73University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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10.99St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.0%1st Place
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14.02Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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12.88Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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11.47University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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10.86Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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11.48Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Reineke | 8.8% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Emma White | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Emily Haig | 12.6% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Sole | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 12.3% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Rebecca Read | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 4.8% |
| Katherine Cox | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Hannah Steadman | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Lenox Butcher | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 31.1% |
| Skye Shepherd | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 17.2% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.1% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.