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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.38+4.95vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.18+4.58vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01+8.57vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.15+2.54vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.35+4.75vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.64+2.60vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.55+6.01vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.99-0.84vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.65-0.44vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.43-0.20vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University1.96+0.65vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-5.51vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-3.22vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.22-3.93vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.75-2.74vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.11-5.08vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.94-5.25vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.15-7.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.95Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.58Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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11.57St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.0%1st Place
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6.54Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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9.75George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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8.6College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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13.01Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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7.16Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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8.56Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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9.8University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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11.65Georgetown University1.960.0%1st Place
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6.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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9.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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10.07Stanford University2.220.0%1st Place
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12.26Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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10.92Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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11.75University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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10.56University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Klingler | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Steadman | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% |
| Sophia Reineke | 9.7% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Skye Shepherd | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 20.7% |
| Emma White | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Taylor Gavula | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% |
| Lenox Butcher | 5.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% |
| Carly Broussard | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.2% |
| Emily Haig | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
| Sophia Sole | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.2% |
| Kelsey Slack | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 14.5% |
| Sebby Turner | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 11.7% |
| Rebecca Read | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.