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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.99+6.46vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01+9.56vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.18+3.57vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.38+1.62vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.96+6.33vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.35+3.86vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.43+2.52vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.65+0.54vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.55+4.11vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.22+0.65vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.15-4.30vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.64-3.01vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.75-0.84vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.15-3.61vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-8.83vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.94-4.33vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.11-5.98vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-8.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.46Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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11.56St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.0%1st Place
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6.57Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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5.62Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.33Georgetown University1.960.0%1st Place
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9.86George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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9.52University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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8.54Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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13.11Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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10.65Stanford University2.220.0%1st Place
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6.7Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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8.99College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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12.16Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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10.39University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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6.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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11.67University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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11.02Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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9.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma White | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.7% |
| Hannah Steadman | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 13.3% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Carly Broussard | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.3% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% |
| Lenox Butcher | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Skye Shepherd | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 21.2% |
| Sophia Sole | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% |
| Sophia Reineke | 9.7% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Kelsey Slack | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 14.2% |
| Rebecca Read | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% |
| Emily Haig | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 10.7% |
| Sebby Turner | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.