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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.96+10.63vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.11+9.15vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.15+3.80vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.35+5.70vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.18+1.45vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.65+2.59vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.38-1.29vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+1.84vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.43+0.45vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01+1.59vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.22-0.44vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.99-4.48vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.75-0.86vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.55-1.21vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-8.94vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.94-4.35vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston2.64-8.19vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.15-7.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.63Georgetown University1.960.0%1st Place
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11.15Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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6.8Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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9.7George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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6.45Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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8.59Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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5.71Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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9.45University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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11.59St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.0%1st Place
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10.56Stanford University2.220.0%1st Place
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7.52Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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12.14Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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12.79Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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6.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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11.65University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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8.81College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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10.55University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carly Broussard | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.5% |
| Sebby Turner | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% |
| Sophia Reineke | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% |
| Hannah Steadman | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Christine Klingler | 11.8% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% |
| Lenox Butcher | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% |
| Sophia Sole | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.6% |
| Emma White | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Kelsey Slack | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 13.4% |
| Skye Shepherd | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 19.8% |
| Emily Haig | 10.7% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 11.3% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Rebecca Read | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.