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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01+10.44vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.11+9.14vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.38+2.86vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.22+6.30vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.75+7.14vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.96+5.48vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.18-0.53vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.94+3.46vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.43+0.46vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.64-1.13vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.65-2.25vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.15-5.07vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.99-5.88vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-8.00vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.35-5.20vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.15-5.16vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-6.98vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.55-5.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.44St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.0%1st Place
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11.14Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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5.86Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.3Stanford University2.220.0%1st Place
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12.14Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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11.48Georgetown University1.960.0%1st Place
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6.47Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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11.46University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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9.46University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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8.87College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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8.75Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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6.93Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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7.12Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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6.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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9.8George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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10.84University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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10.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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12.93Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gloria Kevliciute | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% |
| Sebby Turner | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% |
| Christine Klingler | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Sole | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% |
| Kelsey Slack | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 16.1% |
| Carly Broussard | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.1% |
| Hannah Steadman | 10.0% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 10.4% |
| Lenox Butcher | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 6.7% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% |
| Sophia Reineke | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Emma White | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Emily Haig | 11.0% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% |
| Rebecca Read | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.5% |
| Katherine Cox | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% |
| Skye Shepherd | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.