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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.65+7.86vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.18+4.67vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.22+7.66vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.99+3.18vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.43+4.46vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+3.91vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.38-1.25vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.15-1.46vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.94+2.56vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01+1.51vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-4.61vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.14+2.63vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.12-2.32vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.64-5.69vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.15-4.30vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.35-6.13vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University1.96-5.40vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.11-7.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.86Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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6.67Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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10.66Stanford University2.220.0%1st Place
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7.18Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.46University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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9.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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5.75Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.54Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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11.56University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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11.51St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.0%1st Place
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6.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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14.63Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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10.68Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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8.31College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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10.7University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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9.87George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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11.6Georgetown University1.960.0%1st Place
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10.71Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Gavula | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Hannah Steadman | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Sole | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% |
| Emma White | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Lenox Butcher | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% |
| Christine Klingler | 11.9% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Reineke | 9.8% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.6% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 7.1% |
| Emily Haig | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 39.4% |
| Grace Mooradian | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Rebecca Read | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 5.7% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.2% |
| Carly Broussard | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 7.6% |
| Sebby Turner | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.