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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.65+7.79vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.43+7.72vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.15+3.73vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.38+1.64vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.35+4.72vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.99+1.15vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.96+4.43vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-1.92vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.02-2.02vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.15+0.96vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.64-2.26vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-1.75vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.11-2.35vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.94-2.77vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.22-4.66vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01-4.68vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.12-6.00vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College1.14-3.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.79Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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9.72University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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6.73Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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5.64Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.72George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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7.15Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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11.43Georgetown University1.960.0%1st Place
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6.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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6.98Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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10.96University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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8.74College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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10.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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10.65Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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11.23University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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10.34Stanford University2.220.0%1st Place
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11.32St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.0%1st Place
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11.0Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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14.28Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Gavula | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Lenox Butcher | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| Sophia Reineke | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Christine Klingler | 13.4% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% |
| Emma White | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Carly Broussard | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.0% |
| Emily Haig | 11.6% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Hibben | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Rebecca Read | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 5.9% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Katherine Cox | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% |
| Sebby Turner | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% |
| Sophia Sole | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% |
| Grace Mooradian | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.0% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 12.9% | 34.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.