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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.48+6.28vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University3.43+5.39vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+4.99vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.49+2.90vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+3.22vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.24+2.02vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.56-0.29vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University1.93+4.96vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.30-1.32vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04-0.98vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.17-2.60vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii2.14+0.60vs Predicted
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13University of Notre Dame1.92-0.08vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan2.03-1.66vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.27-3.22vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.53-9.08vs Predicted
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17Fordham University3.16-8.60vs Predicted
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18Western Washington University1.03-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.28Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.39Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.99St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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6.9Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.22U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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8.02Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.71Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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12.96Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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7.68U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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9.02Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.1%1st Place
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8.4Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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12.6University of Hawaii2.140.0%1st Place
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12.92University of Notre Dame1.920.0%1st Place
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12.34University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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11.78University of South Florida2.270.0%1st Place
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6.92Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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8.4Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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15.46Western Washington University1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% |
| Liam McCarthy | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Carrson Pearce | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Holley | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 15.8% | 12.5% |
| Parker Loftus | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| John Hanna | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Michael Pacholski | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 10.9% |
| Christian Cyrul | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 16.0% | 12.5% |
| Jenna Probst | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 10.3% |
| John Whitehead | 2.5% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 5.9% |
| Christopher Williford | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Roberto Stevens | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 18.4% | 43.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.