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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.56+5.93vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.17+6.48vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+4.99vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+4.20vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.49+1.97vs Predicted
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6Fordham University3.16+2.34vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University1.93+6.03vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii2.14+4.17vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.27+2.75vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04-0.99vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.48-3.86vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.24-3.64vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University3.43-5.94vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.30-6.57vs Predicted
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15University of Notre Dame1.92-2.02vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.53-9.08vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University1.03-1.30vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan2.03-5.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.93Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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8.48Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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7.99St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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8.2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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6.97Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.34Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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13.03Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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12.17University of Hawaii2.140.0%1st Place
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11.75University of South Florida2.270.0%1st Place
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9.01Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.1%1st Place
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7.14Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.36Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.06Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.43U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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12.98University of Notre Dame1.920.0%1st Place
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6.92Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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15.7Western Washington University1.030.0%1st Place
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12.55University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Kaplan | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Liam McCarthy | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Carrson Pearce | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 9.7% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Roberto Stevens | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 16.8% | 13.2% |
| Michael Pacholski | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 6.8% |
| John Whitehead | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 4.3% |
| John Hanna | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 8.3% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Holley | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Parker Loftus | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Christian Cyrul | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 12.9% |
| Christopher Williford | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 49.6% |
| Jenna Probst | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.