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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.53+6.06vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.49+5.14vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.17+5.48vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.56+2.60vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.93+7.82vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii2.14+6.40vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University3.43+0.22vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.48-1.02vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-1.26vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.16-1.44vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.30-3.18vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.24-3.63vs Predicted
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13University of Notre Dame1.92-0.13vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-5.98vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04-6.32vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida2.27-4.09vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan2.03-4.15vs Predicted
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18Western Washington University1.03-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.06Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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7.14Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.48Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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6.6Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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12.82Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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12.4University of Hawaii2.140.0%1st Place
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7.22Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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6.98Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.74St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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8.56Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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7.82U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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8.37Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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12.87University of Notre Dame1.920.0%1st Place
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8.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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8.68Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.1%1st Place
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11.91University of South Florida2.270.0%1st Place
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12.85University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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15.46Western Washington University1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Williford | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 10.6% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 12.7% |
| Michael Pacholski | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 9.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 9.0% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Liam McCarthy | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Roberto Stevens | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Parker Loftus | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Cameron Holley | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Christian Cyrul | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 12.2% |
| Carrson Pearce | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| John Hanna | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| John Whitehead | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 6.4% |
| Jenna Probst | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 11.4% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 44.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.